Empty café tables and chairs lit by candlelight against a wall at night.

Market guides

Who is winning, what the unit economics look like, and where the US market is headed.

US Non-Alcoholic Drinks Market Size, 2026

The US non-alcoholic drinks market crossed $1 billion in retail sales by end of 2025 and is growing roughly 18% a year toward about $5 billion by 2028.

Carl Héline · Co-founder, Avenor · Paris — Updated June 3, 2026

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Model your US margin.

Same shelf price, same cost of goods — two very different outcomes. Move the sliders to see what your brand keeps through a distributor versus owning the channel.

$28
$5
10,000
100%
Distributor path= $28 SRP
COGS
$5
Brand
$5.06
Distributor
$5.98
Retailer
$9.89

Brand keeps $5.06 per bottle.

Ownership / DTC path= $28 SRP
COGS
$5
Brand
$23

Brand keeps $23 per bottle.

$51K

annual brand revenue

$230K

4.55× vs distributor

Written by

Nick Bodkins

Co-founder, Avenor · New York

Bringing a brand to the US? Let's talk.

Tell us where your brand stands today and where you want it in America. We'll come back with the first moves that matter for you.

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